2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 4 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 7 Tyler Soderstrom 4 HRs · 8 Marcus Semien 4 HRs · 9 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 3 HRs · 11 Brooks Lee 3 HRs · 12 Cedric Mullins 3 HRs 1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 4 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 7 Tyler Soderstrom 4 HRs · 8 Marcus Semien 4 HRs · 9 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 3 HRs · 11 Brooks Lee 3 HRs · 12 Cedric Mullins 3 HRs
Framber Valdez
Framber Valdez LHP DET
114 matchups scored · 13 game days
14 HRs Allowed
12.3% HR Rate (Pool)
9.2% Overall HR/FB
3.86 FIP
4.26 xFIP
-0.41 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
1.08
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
9.2%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
20th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
83.5%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.86
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
46th pctile
4.26
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.41
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
29th pctile
12.3%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
114
Pool Matchups
14
HRs Allowed (Pool)
4
Top-15 Matchups
1
HRs to Top-15
12.3%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 15 2 3 20.0% 1.5 99.0mph 102.9mph 29.7° 403ft Up +7.7pp
Last 15 24 3 6 25.0% 2.0 98.6mph 102.3mph 31.8° 386ft Up +12.7pp
Last 30 60 7 8 13.3% 1.14 99.2mph 102.2mph 31.8° 387ft Flat +1.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
91 tracked BBE from 114 pool matchups
100.0
112.7
76
0
104.0
30.9°
394
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-06-10 Royce Lewis 107.6mph 107.6mph 32° 444ft Yes
2026-06-10 Byron Buxton 107.0mph 107.0mph 22° 413ft Yes
2026-06-10 Luke Keaschall 103.2mph · · · ·
2026-06-10 Brooks Lee 100.9mph · · · ·
2026-06-05 Julio Rodríguez 106.4mph · · · ·
2026-06-05 Josh Naylor 104.8mph · · · ·
2026-06-05 Randy Arozarena 103.7mph · · · ·
2026-06-05 Colt Emerson 94.1mph 94.1mph 35° 351ft Yes
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
13 days · 14 total HRs
HRs Allowed
14 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-06-10 Byron Buxton #14 72 Comerica Park 107.0mph 22.0° 413ft
2026-06-10 Royce Lewis #196 27 Comerica Park 107.6mph 32.0° 444ft
2026-06-05 Colt Emerson #101 46 Comerica Park 94.1mph 35.0° 351ft
2026-05-30 Colson Montgomery #84 54 Rate Field 106.8mph 41.0° 372ft
2026-05-30 Andrew Benintendi #209 34 Rate Field 100.6mph 30.0° 368ft
2026-05-30 Edgar Quero #229 29 Rate Field 97.7mph 31.0° 371ft
2026-05-24 Gunnar Henderson #58 57 Camden Yards 100.8mph 38.0° 368.0ft
2026-05-18 José Ramírez #180 36 Comerica Park 102.8mph 25.0° 410.0ft
2026-05-05 Willson Contreras #76 38 Comerica Park 111.9mph 32.0° 449.0ft
2026-05-05 Wilyer Abreu #255 7 Comerica Park 109.1mph 23.0° 396.0ft
2026-05-05 Ceddanne Rafaela #256 6 Comerica Park 98.0mph 30.0° 362.0ft
2026-04-24 Nathaniel Lowe #31 72 Great American Ball Park 104.6mph 36.0° 396.0ft
2026-04-24 Matt McLain #97 56 Great American Ball Park 106.3mph 26.0° 419.0ft
2026-04-19 Willson Contreras #157 39 Fenway Park 109.4mph 32.0° 394.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Sinker 609 46.0% -0.0 87.0 11.9° 4
Curveball 368 27.8% +1.2 82.8 5.4° 3
Changeup 264 19.9% -0.6 84.6 4.9° 2
Slider 64 4.8% -1.8 76.5 23.9° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
83.5%
83.5%
All Scored Matchups
114 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-06-10 Luke Keaschall #225 18 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Austin Martin #223 19 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-10 Royce Lewis #196 27 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-06-10 Orlando Arcia #192 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-10 Ryan Kreidler #160 35 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-10 Josh Bell #155 37 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-10 Brooks Lee #109 44 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-10 Byron Buxton #14 72 🟡 B 📈 WARM 💥
2026-06-05 Josh Naylor #214 24 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Cole Young #213 24 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-06-05 Mitch Garver #205 26 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-06-05 Randy Arozarena #157 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-05 Rob Refsnyder #148 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-05 Colt Emerson #101 46 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-06-05 Julio Rodríguez #59 55 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-30 Rikuu Nishida #270 10 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-05-30 Luisangel Acuña #264 14 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-30 Sam Antonacci #233 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-30 Edgar Quero #229 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-30 Andrew Benintendi #209 34 ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-30 Chase Meidroth #173 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-30 Colson Montgomery #84 54 🟠 C 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-30 Randal Grichuk #83 54 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-30 Miguel Vargas #43 62 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-24 Leody Taveras #219 32 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-24 Tyler O'Neill #215 33 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-24 Weston Wilson #208 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 Taylor Ward #207 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 Blaze Alexander #200 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-24 Jeremiah Jackson #72 53 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-24 Gunnar Henderson #58 57 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-05-24 Pete Alonso #32 62 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-24 Adley Rutschman #24 65 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-23 leody taveras #231 32 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-23 taylor ward #213 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-23 dylan beavers #199 38 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-23 jeremiah jackson #96 52 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-23 coby mayo #73 56 🟠 C 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-23 gunnar henderson #65 58 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-23 samuel basallo #60 60 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-23 pete alonso #57 61 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-23 adley rutschman #47 64 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-18 Steven Kwan #252 5 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-18 Brayan Rocchio #235 20 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-18 Bo Naylor #187 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-18 José Ramírez #180 36 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-18 Daniel Schneemann #175 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-18 Rhys Hoskins #153 40 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-18 Kyle Manzardo #129 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-18 Chase DeLauter #128 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-18 Angel Martínez #63 54 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-13 Marcus Semien #246 13 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-13 Bo Bichette #234 16 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-13 Brett Baty #214 20 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-13 Luis Robert Jr. #209 21 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-05-13 Carson Benge #204 22 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-13 Mark Vientos #150 28 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-13 Francisco Lindor #135 30 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-13 Francisco Alvarez #123 32 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-13 Juan Soto #71 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-05 Caleb Durbin #261 1 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-05 Trevor Story #259 3 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-05 Ceddanne Rafaela #256 6 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-05 Wilyer Abreu #255 7 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-05 Marcelo Mayer #250 8 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-05 Roman Anthony #249 8 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-05 Jarren Duran #210 15 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-05 Carlos Narváez #132 26 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-05 Willson Contreras #76 38 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-30 Mauricio Dubón #175 9 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-30 Ronald Acuña Jr. #163 14 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-30 Kyle Farmer #119 21 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-30 Austin Riley #82 29 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-30 Drake Baldwin #60 36 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-30 Eli White #59 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-30 Jorge Mateo #55 39 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-30 Ozzie Albies #47 41 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-30 Matt Olson #24 55 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Ke'Bryan Hayes #145 45 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-24 Rece Hinds #144 45 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-24 Matt McLain #97 56 🟠 C ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-24 Tyler Stephenson #68 61 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-24 Dane Myers #55 65 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-24 Nathaniel Lowe #31 72 🟡 B 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-24 Spencer Steer #16 78 🟡 B 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-24 Elly De La Cruz #9 82 🟢 A 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-24 Sal Stewart #7 83 🟢 A 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-19 Isiah Kiner-Falefa #266 4 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 Caleb Durbin #264 6 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 Andruw Monasterio #262 9 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-19 Carlos Narváez #256 15 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 Trevor Story #255 15 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 Ceddanne Rafaela #248 16 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-19 Roman Anthony #205 29 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-19 Wilyer Abreu #178 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-19 Willson Contreras #157 39 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-14 Michael Massey #160 20 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-14 Kyle Isbel #157 26 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-14 Jonathan India #150 28 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-14 Maikel Garcia #147 36 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-14 Isaac Collins #145 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-14 Jac Caglianone #139 30 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-14 Bobby Witt Jr. #134 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-14 Salvador Perez #126 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-14 Vinnie Pasquantino #124 35 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-08 Ryan Jeffers #205 28 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-08 Christian Vazquez #192 21 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-08 Luke Keaschall #185 29 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-08 Edouard Julien #177 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-08 Brooks Lee #176 28 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-08 Trevor Larnach #142 32 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-08 Royce Lewis #84 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-08 Byron Buxton #39 53 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-08 Matt Wallner #6 50 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·

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